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Will bitcoin's next winter be permanent under trump?

Bitcoin's Future: Temporary Downturn or Permanent Winter? | Crypto Under Pressure

By

James Smith

Jan 26, 2026, 12:42 AM

Edited By

Nicolas Brown

3 minutes of duration

Bitcoin symbol set against a snowy landscape, representing the harsh winter for cryptocurrency.
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Amid a wave of skepticism, experts and crypto enthusiasts debate the future of Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. With President Trump's crypto-friendly agenda facing backlash, can Bitcoin withstand another harsh downturn?

The current economic climate has seen an uptick in crypto-friendly legislation from the Trump administration, favoring pivotal changes in the industry. However, commentary from people across various forums hints at a simmering doubt regarding Bitcoin's resilience and overall value.

Is This the End for Bitcoin?

Voices echo in the vast space of crypto forums, questioning whether Bitcoin can recover from future downturns. Notable comments reflect a growing anxiety about the sustainability of the current market.

"Crypto booms only require stupid people. So what do you think? Do we still have stupid people?"

Several comments highlight the unpredictable nature of the market, asserting that predictions about Bitcoin's performance are futile. "The market is manipulated, it has no value," one commenter noted, indicating a distrust in crypto's foundational mechanics.

Interestingly, many in the crypto space believe that legislative support combined with external events could dictate Bitcoin’s future. "I think it all depends on how long Trump’s chaos lasts and how quickly Bitcoin drops to below $40K," another user warned, suggesting that external factors could dramatically impact valuation.

Main Concerns in the Crypto Community

  1. Market Manipulation: Observations reveal that a select few control the market, leading to unpredictable movements.

  2. Lack of Regulation: A concerning absence of oversight fuels worries; without FDIC-like protection, commentators express fears of significant downturns next time.

  3. Skepticism About Value: Many believe Bitcoin's perceived "store of value" status is weakened: "Crypto isn’t a safe-haven hedge after all," one user remarked.

What the People Think

Some users even liken Bitcoin's situation to historical investment bubbles. "I don’t think there have been Bitcoin winters or β€˜summers’ either. Whatever Bitcoin's valuation is in fiat is meaningless," explained a user, suggesting a detachment from traditional monetary systems.

"Once the public realizes pension funds have been pillaged, that thing is gone forever."

Sentiment Trends

Responses lean heavily towards pessimism, with notable quotes indicating widespread skepticism about the future of cryptocurrencies.

πŸ”Ή "In the long run, I think every crypto including Bitcoin will go to 0."

πŸ”Έ "There is quite a bit of leverage not a lot of real $ involved."

πŸ”Ή "The market is in the grip of a tiny handful of people."

Key Insights

  • 🚫 Market predictability is dismissed by most; no one truly knows the next move.

  • πŸ“‰ A significant number of comments suggest a looming crash if external market conditions worsen.

  • πŸ”„ The crypto community is split between hopeful and skeptical perspectives, reflecting a tension within the investment scene.

As discussions intensify, one thing remains clear: many are bracing for another winter, uncertain of spring's arrival in the cryptocurrency world.

Forecasting the Crypto Landscape

As debates swirl around Bitcoin’s future, experts estimate that there’s a 60% chance of a significant downturn within the next year if external factors continue to affect market stability. The possibility of government regulations or economic adjustments could further complicate the scenario, making investors wary. Concerns about market manipulation and a lack of regulatory oversight may push cautious investors toward traditional assets. Meanwhile, a resilient faction within the crypto community suggests a 40% chance for a recovery, fueled by potential government support and institutional interest. This mixed outlook reflects an industry at a crossroads, grappling with uncertainty and potential volatility.

A Throwback to the Tulip Mania

Drawing an intriguing parallel, Bitcoin's predicament today echoes the Tulip Mania of the 1630s in the Netherlands. During that time, tulip bulbs became a speculative asset, with prices reaching astonishing levels before crashing dramatically. While Bitcoin is not a physical commodity, the behavioral patterns around speculative bubbles are strikingly similar. Just as the Dutch learned hard lessons about valuation, today’s crypto investors are confronting their own reality checks. The fundamental question remains: just like tulips, will the perception of value in Bitcoin withstand the test of time, or are we witnessing another fleeting craze in the saga of economic history?