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Eth hits third straight red quarter but future looks bright

Ethereum Faces Third Consecutive Red Quarter | Budget Cuts and Future Upgrades Spark Mixed Reactions

By

Vitalik Buterin

Jul 21, 2026, 04:34 PM

Edited By

Liam Murphy

3 minutes of duration

A graph showing Ethereum's price decline over three quarters with a focus on future improvements and institutional interest.
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Ethereum has just recorded its third straight quarter of negative performance, stirring concerns among users. New developments at the Foundation, including a 40% budget cut and a 20% reduction in staff, have sparked discussions about the project's viability.

The Foundation’s restructuring aims to enhance institutional adoption by launching a separate nonprofit, Ethereum Institutional, backed by prominent figure Joseph Lubin. This move, while seemingly drastic, seeks to streamline operations and focus core protocol research in-house with a leaner team. However, a significant budget cut during three quarters of downturn raises valid questions regarding the project’s direction.

Interestingly, the anticipated upgrade appears to be slipping to Q3. While details are sparse, sources highlight that parallel execution and increased gas limits are crucial aspects of this upgrade. A rise in gas limits could expand Layer 1 capabilities and ease congestion without immediate reliance on Layer 2 solutions. Users fear that three consecutive quarters of underperformance, combined with delays in newsworthy upgrades, may dampen market sentiment.

"The market seems to be pricing in delays while ignoring key upgrades that matter," commented an observant voice from the user boards.

Mixed Sentiment Amid Upheaval

Despite the downturn, many believe long-term developments remain promising. Comments reflect a feeling that ongoing upgrades like ePBS, block access lists, and enhanced execution capacity showcase Ethereum’s commitment to addressing scaling challenges. One user noted, "These upgrades show real progress even if they won't immediately raise prices." Others remain skeptical, insisting that current concerns and structural issues overshadow potential benefits.

Investment firms like BlackRock and Grayscale are reportedly developing Ethereum-focused ETFs, emphasizing a shift in how institutional investors view ETHβ€”not merely as an asset for price speculation but as a productive asset. Could this development signal a major shift in market dynamics?

Key Developments

  • πŸ”» Ethereum’s Foundation announces a 40% budget cut and 20% staff layoff.

  • πŸ—“οΈ Major upgrade has been delayed, leading to growing user questions.

  • πŸ’‘ Institutional-focused ETFs could positively alter ETH’s demand dynamics.

Future Outlook

User fears about liquidating positions during a prolonged downturn linger. "I'd rather borrow against my holdings than sell low," stated one user, suggesting platforms like Nexo and Kraken as alternatives for leveraging positions without triggering taxable events.

Overall, the combination of recent layoffs, upgrade delays, and expanding institutional interest paints a complex picture for Ethereum moving forward. Many remain hopeful that long-term developments will pave a path to recovery despite current price trends.

What’s next for Ethereum? Time will tell.

Forecasting Ethereum’s Path Ahead

Ethereum's trajectory in the coming months will largely depend on how well it manages the dual challenges of budget cuts and upgrade delays. There’s a strong chance that the ecosystem could see a rebound if the anticipated upgrade in Q3 delivers tangible improvements. Experts estimate around a 65% probability that institutional interest, driven by ETFs from firms like BlackRock and Grayscale, could fuel price recovery through increased demand. As more institutions view Ethereum as a productive asset rather than a speculative one, we might witness a shift in sentiment that could stabilize the market despite its current woes.

A Nod to History: The Rise of the Internet

A parallel could be drawn between Ethereum's current situation and the early days of the internet in the late 1990s. Just like pioneers in tech faced skepticism amid budget cuts and uncertain futures, early internet companies struggled against negative market sentiments. However, the long-term vision of those companies paid off, culminating in a digital revolution. Today’s fragmented yet hopeful outlook for Ethereum mirrors that era; it demonstrates how initial doubts can precede significant technological shifts that fundamentally change industries. Both situations highlight the importance of patience and resilience in the face of adversity.