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Can hbar's adoption lead to price growth or decline?

HBAR's Adoption Concerns | Can High Demand Still Result in Low Prices?

By

Alice Zhang

Jan 25, 2026, 11:05 PM

Edited By

Cathy Hackl

2 minutes of duration

A graphic showing the HBAR token with arrows indicating growth and decline, surrounded by symbols of adoption like users and transactions.
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A rising concern within crypto circles is whether increased adoption of Hedera (HBAR) will lead to a significant boost in its token price. Users are expressing doubts over HBAR's potential value increase despite potential real-world applications.

The Community Questions Price Dynamics

Many in the community are examining HBAR's economic model. Key points raised include:

  • Low Fees: Transaction fees are USD-pegged and kept low, attracting enterprise applications without a need for long-term HBAR holdings.

  • Scalable Usage: This leads to an increase in platform usage without a proportional rise in token demand.

  • Utility Over Scarcity: Contributors argue HBAR functions mainly as a utility token, not as a scarce asset.

As one user pointed out, "Even if adoption skyrockets, the token price might hardly budge."

Possible Revenue Scenarios

While users predict significant revenue possibilities, the impact on HBAR's value is still in question. For instance:

  • One poster calculated that if a shard processes 10,000 transactions daily, the network could generate roughly $250 million in annual fees.

  • In scenarios involving smarter contracts, potential revenues could soar close to $950 million.

This raises the question: Could Hedera become profitable enough to boost staking rewards, thus increasing HBAR demand?

Diverse Sentiments on Utility and Value

Engaging responses indicate mixed feelings about HBAR's future:

  • Some frame HBAR as a means of utility without a focused vision on price appreciation.

  • The argument that excessive attention on price can lead to unrealistic expectations is echoed by several voices in the forum.

"I don’t obsess over price I’m more concerned the network still exists in 5 years."

This reflects a pragmatic perspective prevalent among some HBAR community members.

Key Insights from the Forum

  • πŸ” Low Fee Structure: Keeps adoption high without impacting token demand directly.

  • πŸ“ˆ Revenue Predictions: Large transaction volumes might not translate to price spikes but can stabilize the network financially.

  • βš–οΈ Staking Rewards: Could create demand in a scenario where user interest rises significantly.

While skepticism remains regarding HBAR's immediate price prospects, the network's underlying utility and wide-ranging applications could lead to unforeseen outcomes. Only time will tell how this unfolds in the highly competitive crypto market.

Probable Pathways for HBAR's Future

There’s a strong chance that if HBAR’s adoption continues to grow, the price may remain stagnant due to its utility-focused model. Experts estimate around a 75% probability that low transaction fees will keep demand for holding the token low, despite increased network activity. However, if staking rewards are adjusted to reflect any rise in demand, the token could see a more favorable trajectory, increasing its appeal to those wanting to invest in the asset, approximately a 60% likelihood. This balancing act between real-world utility and price speculation will likely determine HBAR's course in the coming months.

A Historical Reflection of Unique Growth

Looking back at the early days of email, many doubted its potential for revolutionizing communication, as it had no price tag linked to usage. People focused on search engines like Yahoo, which were expected to dominate. However, email evolved, unshackling itself from skepticism and blossoming into the essential tool we know today. Similarly, HBAR's potential utility could outpace expectations, transforming community skepticism into a new wave of appreciation over time.