Edited By
Sofia Ivanova

Recent discussions around the TPS impact model for EQTY Lab's Verifiable Compute are making waves. A group of tech stakeholders is evaluating the implications of using Hedera as an underpinning audit layer, setting the stage for future developments in the space.
The model outlines various scenarios predicting transaction per second (TPS) rates central to Hederaโs adoption as an AI audit framework. Three main layers of adoption were identified:
Number of Enterprises: 50โ200
Estimated AI Jobs: 1,000โ10,000 jobs per day
Daily Transactions: About 1 million transactions leading to ~12 TPS
This period is marked as noticeable but not transformative; it comfortably sits within the current network's baseline usage.
Number of Enterprises: 500โ2,000
Estimated AI Jobs: 10,000โ100,000 jobs per day
Daily Transactions: Roughly 50 million transactions, equating to ~580 TPS
This reflects a substantial network load, positioning Hedera strategically as an AI compliance framework.
Number of Agents: Millions
Daily Actions: Continuous, averaging 20 actions
Daily Transactions: Projected to reach 150 million transactions (~1,740 TPS)
If conditions improve, TPS could skyrocket to ~17,000 with aggressive agent usage.
The model emphasizes that TPS is less about the technologyโs raw capabilities and more about:
Frequency of verifiable events: How often something requires proof.
Granularity of verification: More frequent checks yield higher TPS.
Regulatory demands: Industries like finance necessitate stricter logging.
Agent autonomy: Fully autonomous systems can exponentially increase TPS.
"What drives TPS is how often verification is required," a source noted.
The realistic TPS projections throughout different phases are essential for investors and stakeholders:
2026โ2027: 10โ50 TPS during pilot phases.
2027โ2029: 200โ1,000 TPS as enterprises scale.
2030+: 1,000โ10,000 TPS with an established agent economy.
Quality of TPS: This model illustrates a sustainable TPS source linked to enterprise activity.
Revenue Implications: Estimates suggest significant annual revenue potential with 1,000 TPS bringing in roughly $3 million, scaling to $30 million at higher rates.
There's optimism that Hedera could emerge as the default audit layer for AI systems, steering away from retail-driven crypto dynamics.
Feedback from various individuals has been mixed:
Complexity Concerns: "This level of understanding and related math is still beyond what I can process," one comment read.
Anticipations of Monitoring: Others expressed a desire to follow up in a year to reassess developments.
A sentiment of cautious optimism prevails among participants, indicating value in future monitoring as regulatory and technological landscapes evolve.
โ By 2026-2027, TPS could rise to 10-50 during pilot schemes.
๐ Anticipated 200-1,000 TPS during enterprise scaling period from 2027-2029.
๐ฎ Long-term possibilities suggest 1,000-10,000+ TPS is achievable in the agent economy phase.
As EQTY Lab's TPS impact model unfolds, we can expect significant advancements in transaction speeds. By 2026-2027, initial pilot phases may see TPS rates climbing to 10-50, driven by early enterprise adoption. If trends hold, the scaling period from 2027-2029 could yield a more substantial 200-1,000 TPS as organizations begin to integrate Hedera's framework into routine operations. There's a solid chance of achieving 1,000-10,000 TPS or even more by 2030, particularly with the rise of autonomous agents generating continuous transactions. This growth hinges not only on technological readiness but also on regulatory acceptance, which is essential for industries heavily relying on compliance. Experts estimate that by embracing a structured audit framework, Hedera could become the go-to solution for AI systems, reshaping the crypto landscape.
Drawing a parallel to the railroad expansion in the 19th century, we see similar dynamics at play. Just as the introduction of rail lines transformed transportation and commerce, unlocking rural areas for trade and connectivity, Hedera's TPS model could reshape the digital landscape. Railroads faced skepticism and regulatory hurdles, akin to the challenges Hedera encounters today. Yet, those who grasped the potential early on reaped unprecedented rewards, illustrating how visionary thinking during transformative periods can lead to defining economic shifts. The interplay of technology and regulation in both cases captures not just a moment in history but a blueprint for future innovation.